Are Lumber Prices Going Up? Lumber Prices Today & 2026 Outlook
If you have been watching building costs lately, you are not alone. We hear the same question from homeowners and contractors every day at OK Lumber Company.
Are lumber prices going up?
The short answer is yes, lumber prices today can move up or down depending on the product, the season, and the supply chain. Heading into 2026, many buyers should plan for continued price changes, especially for high-demand materials like framing lumber, plywood, and pressure-treated boards.
In this guide, we will break down what is happening with lumber pricing today, what may push the lumber price higher (or lower), and how to make smart buying decisions for your next project.
Lumber Prices Today: Quick Answer
● Yes, lumber prices can go up quickly, especially during spring and summer building season.
● Some lumber prices may dip short-term, but price drops do not always show up right away at the retail level.
● Tariffs, mill production changes, and shipping costs can shift lumber pricing today even when demand feels steady.
If you are planning a project in 2026, the best strategy is to stay flexible and make sure you are comparing the right type of pricing, not just headlines.
What the Data Says About Framing Lumber (January 2026)
It helps to look at real benchmarks when evaluating whether lumber prices are rising. Data shows that framing lumber moved down quarter over quarter while still trending up year over year:
“The cost of framing lumber starts January 2026 at $872.03/MBF (thousand board feet), falling 3.44% since Q4 2025. The news isn’t all negative, however, as lumber prices climb 1.50% since Q1 last year.”
Source: What the Data Says: Lumber Price Updates (January 15, 2026)
https://www.gordian.com/resources/lumber-price-updates/
This is a great example of why customers often see mixed signals. Lumber pricing can pull back in the short term, but still remain higher than it was the year before.
What Is Pushing Lumber Prices Higher?
Several factors can influence whether lumber prices rise or fall. Most of the time, it is not just one thing. It is a combination of supply, demand, seasonal changes, and costs throughout the supply chain.
Seasonal demand (spring and summer building season)
When warmer weather hits, projects start moving. That means more demand for framing lumber, deck boards, fencing lumber, plywood, OSB, and pressure-treated lumber. Even if you are not building a new home, seasonal demand from outdoor projects can still impact lumber prices today.
Supply constraints and mill production changes
Lumber mills do not always run at full capacity. When production is reduced, even temporarily, supply tightens and prices can move up fast. Closures and curtailments can also make certain materials harder to source, which creates pricing pressure on what is available.
Tariffs and import costs
Softwood lumber imports are an important part of the U.S. supply. When tariffs or duties increase, the cost of imported lumber rises. That can affect the market quickly, especially if domestic production cannot replace the same volume at the same price.
Freight, labor, and operating costs
Lumber prices do not exist in a bubble. Transportation costs, fuel, labor shortages, and operating costs can all influence what it takes to restock and deliver building materials. Those costs can filter into the pricing customers see.
Are Lumber Prices Going Down in 2026?
Many buyers are also asking: are lumber prices going down, or are they going to stay elevated?
In 2026, it may be more realistic to expect continued ups and downs rather than a smooth drop. Some price relief can happen, but it often takes time to show up in day-to-day purchasing. Suppliers may still be working through higher-cost inventory, and builders often restock ahead of busier seasons.
Lumber Prices Today vs. Lumber Futures: What Is the Difference?
You might see headlines about lumber futures rising or falling and wonder why local pricing feels different.
● Lumber futures reflect market expectations for what pricing may do in the near future
● Local lumber pricing today reflects real inventory, delivery costs, and purchasing timelines
Futures pricing can change quickly. Local pricing typically adjusts based on availability and restocking costs. That is why two people can read the same article and still get different prices depending on where they are buying and what product they need.
How OK Lumber Company Helps Keep Costs Low
At OK Lumber Company, we know nobody wants surprise costs. Whether you are a homeowner or a contractor, your project needs to stay on budget, and we do our best to help make that easier.
Here are a few ways we help customers get the best value possible, even when pricing shifts:
● Keeping popular materials in stock when possible, so you can avoid delays and last-minute substitutions
● Helping you order the right materials the first time, which reduces waste and extra trips
● Offering straightforward quotes and practical recommendations based on your project and timeline
● Supporting contractors and DIYers alike with reliable service for small and large orders
As a local lumberyard serving San Carlos and the surrounding Bay Area, we stay on top of inventory and ordering so our customers can plan projects with fewer surprises.
Tips to Save Money If Lumber Prices Are Rising
Even if lumber prices go up, you still have options. Here are a few ways customers keep costs under control:
Buy early for spring and summer projects. If you know you are building in March, April, or May, pricing may be better earlier than later.
Get a quote and build a buffer into your budget. Small changes add up quickly, especially on larger orders.
Avoid last-minute design changes. Switching lumber size, grade, or layout late in the process can create waste and additional material costs.
Ask about comparable options. Sometimes there are alternative grades, lengths, or product choices that still meet your goals and help reduce cost.
Plan delivery or pickup ahead of time. Timing matters, especially when you are ordering a larger package of lumber.
Get Current Lumber Pricing Today From OK Lumber Company in San Carlos
If you are planning a project in 2026, whether it is a deck, fence, remodel, or new build, we are here to help you get the materials you need at a price you can plan around.
Reach out to OK Lumber Company in San Carlos, serving the surrounding Bay Area, to get current lumber pricing today and a fast quote for your project.
FAQ: Lumber Prices and 2026 Outlook
Are lumber prices going up in 2026?
They may rise in certain seasons or product categories, especially if supply tightens or demand increases. Many buyers should plan for continued price swings rather than a steady drop.
What are lumber prices today?
Lumber prices today depend on the type of lumber you need and local supply. The best way to get accurate pricing is to request a quote based on your material list.
Are lumber prices going down?
They can go down, but price relief often takes time. Market shifts do not always show up instantly at the retail level.
When is the best time to buy lumber?
Buying before peak spring and summer demand often helps, especially if you know your project start date.